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Insights from The Mind Money Spectrum Podcast Episode #57

This article is based on episode 57 of the Mind Money Spectrum podcast, originally published on January 12, 2021. You can listen to the original episode here.

January creates a useful planning window. A new tax year has begun, payroll elections can be reviewed, and you have more time to respond if your income, investments, or company stock do not behave as expected.

None of the strategies below must be completed in January. Missing the month does not create an automatic penalty. The advantage is that acting early can give your investments more time to compound, make your savings plan easier to manage, and preserve flexibility around complicated decisions such as exercising incentive stock options.

For high-performance professionals, the challenge is rarely a lack of financial opportunities. The greater challenge is coordinating cash flow, retirement accounts, taxes, and equity compensation without allowing avoidable complexity to delay action. Here are three areas worth reviewing near the beginning of every year.

1. Fund retirement accounts sooner when your cash flow allows it

If you plan to make a Traditional IRA or Roth IRA contribution, consider whether you can make the entire contribution early in the year rather than waiting until December or the following tax season.

The reasoning is straightforward. Over long periods, markets have generally risen despite frequent declines along the way. Investing in January gives your money more time in the market than making the same contribution near year end. Inside a Traditional or Roth IRA, that additional time also occurs within a tax-advantaged account.

This is not an argument that markets always rise over short periods. A January investment can immediately decline, and no one knows which month will offer the best price. It is instead a long-term decision based on the expectation that money intended for retirement should be invested for many years.

A calculation discussed in the original episode compared making the same IRA contribution in January with waiting until the end of each year. Using an assumed annual return of 10 percent, the early contribution approach produced approximately 14 percent more money after ten years. That assumed return was generous and should not be treated as a forecast. The broader lesson remains valid: when two investors contribute the same total amount, the money invested sooner has more opportunity to compound.

Early funding is not appropriate if it leaves you short of emergency reserves or forces you to carry expensive debt. Before making a lump-sum contribution, confirm that you can cover near-term spending, taxes, and other known obligations. Financial planning should improve security, not create a cash crunch in pursuit of a theoretical investment advantage.

Traditional IRA, Roth IRA, and backdoor Roth decisions

The correct account depends on income, tax circumstances, workplace retirement coverage, and eligibility rules. Direct Roth IRA contributions and deductible Traditional IRA contributions are subject to limits that can change. Verify the rules that apply for the relevant tax year before contributing.

Higher-income professionals who cannot contribute directly to a Roth IRA may consider a backdoor Roth strategy. This generally involves making a nondeductible contribution to a Traditional IRA and then converting the funds to a Roth IRA. It may sound simple, but existing pre-tax IRA assets can affect the tax result. Review the complete IRA picture with a qualified tax professional before completing the transaction.

January can still be useful even when you missed the prior year contribution. IRA contributions for a prior tax year can generally be made through the applicable tax filing deadline, subject to the rules for that year. Check the current deadline and clearly identify the contribution year when moving the money. After completing any available prior year contribution, you can evaluate whether funding the new year contribution also fits your cash flow.

2. Review the 401k and increase your savings rate by 1 percent

Most employees contribute to a 401k throughout the year through payroll deductions. Unlike an IRA lump sum, evenly distributing these contributions often makes practical sense because it produces more consistent take-home pay and simplifies cash-flow planning.

The beginning of the year is still the right time to check the election. Do not assume that the percentage used last year will produce the intended result this year. Compensation may have changed, contribution limits may have changed, and bonuses can affect the calculation.

Start with four questions:

  • Am I contributing enough to receive the full available employer match?
  • Will my current payroll percentage reach my annual contribution target?
  • Does the plan match each paycheck, or does it offer a year-end true-up?
  • If I reach the 401k limit, where will the next dollar of long-term savings go?

The third question matters when considering front-loading. If an employer provides matching contributions only during pay periods when you contribute, reaching the employee limit too early could cause you to miss later matching dollars unless the plan offers a true-up. Review the plan documents before making a large change.

Use a 1 percent increase to make progress almost automatic

If you are not yet on track to maximize the account, consider increasing the payroll contribution by one percentage point. Moving from 7 percent to 8 percent may not feel dramatic, but repeating a modest increase over several years can materially improve retirement readiness.

This is compounding in a broader sense. Investment returns compound after the money is invested, while gradual increases in the amount saved compound the financial habit itself. A 1 percent annual step-up can be easier to absorb than waiting several years and then attempting a much larger lifestyle adjustment.

A raise offers another natural opportunity. Directing part of a raise to savings can increase the savings rate while still allowing take-home pay to rise. This reduces the chance that every compensation increase becomes a permanent increase in spending.

Professionals with higher incomes should pay particular attention to savings outside the 401k. If compensation rises but the amount going into the plan remains capped, the 401k represents a smaller percentage of income. You may technically be maximizing the account while allowing your overall savings rate to fall.

For example, someone who previously directed 12 percent of income into a 401k might receive a raise and find that the maximum contribution now represents less than 10 percent of income. If the long-term plan calls for a higher savings rate, the difference may need to go to an IRA, a taxable brokerage account, or another appropriate workplace plan.

Taxable investing is not a consolation prize. A diversified portfolio of stocks and bonds in a taxable account can provide flexibility before retirement age, support goals beyond retirement, and help prevent every dollar from being locked inside an account with distribution restrictions. The right mix depends on the goal, time horizon, and capacity for risk.

3. Evaluate incentive stock options early, especially at a public company

Incentive stock options can create valuable tax opportunities, but they also introduce concentration risk, alternative minimum tax considerations, and significant cash-flow demands. January can be an especially useful exercise month when the company is publicly traded and the shares can eventually be sold.

To receive the favorable long-term capital gain treatment associated with an ISO qualifying disposition, the shares generally must be held for more than one year after exercise and more than two years after the grant date. Selling before satisfying the required holding periods creates a disqualifying disposition, which changes the tax treatment.

An ISO exercise usually requires cash because you are buying and holding the shares rather than completing an immediate cashless sale. The bargain element, meaning the difference between the strike price and fair market value at exercise, can also create exposure to the alternative minimum tax even though the shares have not been sold.

Why a January exercise can preserve flexibility

Suppose you exercise publicly traded ISOs in January with the intention of holding the shares for at least one year. By December, you have nearly a full year of information about the stock price, salary, bonuses, other investment gains or losses, and potential AMT exposure.

If the stock falls sharply or the projected tax result becomes unattractive, you may be able to sell before year end and intentionally create a disqualifying disposition. You give up the intended ISO holding-period benefit, but you avoid being trapped by a decision made with far less information. The tax calculation can still be complex, so this should be modeled with a financial advisor and tax professional before trading.

Exercising later in the year provides less time to observe the company and your broader tax situation. You may enter the next calendar year still exposed to the stock while carrying an AMT liability based on a higher value at the original exercise date.

Early exercise can also help fund the eventual tax bill

A January exercise can coordinate the sale and tax-payment timeline. If you exercise in one January, satisfy the required one-year holding period, and sell in the following January, the proceeds may be available before the tax associated with the exercise year must be paid with the return.

This can support a systematic multiyear strategy. You might sell shares from an earlier ISO exercise, use part of the proceeds for taxes, and use another portion to exercise the next group of options. That approach can reduce the need to drain emergency cash or sell unrelated investments.

It also helps manage concentration risk. Company stock, unexercised options, salary, and career prospects can all depend on the same business. Even when you have confidence in the company, allowing one stock to dominate your net worth can undermine financial security. Selling qualified shares and reallocating the proceeds to a diversified portfolio of stocks and bonds may provide a healthier balance between participating in company growth and protecting personal wealth.

Private-company ISOs require a different framework

The January logic is less compelling when the company is private because there may be no market for the shares. You could pay the exercise cost and an AMT bill without knowing when, or whether, you can sell.

When evaluating private-company ISOs, the key risk is not limited to the strike price. It includes taxes generated by the bargain element and the opportunity cost of locking money into an illiquid business. Even a company that appears to be progressing toward a liquidity event can fail to complete an initial public offering or can complete a transaction that does not reward common shareholders as expected.

Waiting until later in the year may provide better information about total income and the amount of options that might be exercised without creating an unacceptable tax result. In other cases, waiting for greater clarity around a liquidity event may be more prudent than exercising early solely to start the holding period.

There is no universal answer. Exercising early may reduce future taxes if the company succeeds, but it requires accepting more investment and liquidity risk. Waiting can reduce the amount of personal capital at risk, but a later exercise may produce a larger tax bill if the company value rises. This is precisely the type of tradeoff that deserves scenario analysis rather than a rule of thumb.

A practical January financial checklist

Turn these concepts into a short annual process:

  1. Confirm emergency reserves and near-term cash needs before funding investment accounts.
  2. Review IRA eligibility and decide whether an early lump-sum contribution is appropriate.
  3. Check the 401k election, employer-match formula, and projected annual contribution.
  4. Increase the savings rate by 1 percent if cash flow allows.
  5. Decide where additional savings will go after workplace plan limits are reached.
  6. Inventory vested and unvested stock options, expiration dates, strike prices, and holding periods.
  7. Model ISO exercise scenarios under both regular tax and AMT calculations.
  8. Measure total exposure to employer stock before committing more personal capital.

The purpose of this review is not to optimize every decision with perfect foresight. That is impossible. The purpose is to make deliberate decisions while there is enough time to adjust.

As a fee-only fiduciary advisor, I view taxes as one part of the decision rather than the sole objective. A strategy that minimizes taxes but leaves you short of cash, dangerously concentrated in one company, or unable to sleep during market declines is not an optimal strategy. The right plan should support both financial security and the freedom to use your money in ways that matter to you.

This material is for general educational purposes and is not individualized investment or tax advice. Tax rules, contribution limits, and deadlines can change. Consult the appropriate financial and tax professionals before implementing a retirement contribution, Roth conversion, or stock-option exercise strategy.

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Disclaimer

  • The information provided in the blog post is for educational and informational purposes only, and should not be considered as financial advice or a recommendation to invest in any specific investment or investment strategy.
  • Past performance is not indicative of future results, and any investment involves risks, including the potential loss of principal.
  • The financial advisor makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, and shall not be liable for any damages arising from any reliance on or use of such information.
  • Any views or opinions expressed in the blog post are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views or opinions of the financial advisor’s firm or its affiliates.
  • The financial advisor’s firm may have positions in some of the securities or investments discussed in the blog post, and such positions may change at any time without notice.
  • Investors should consult with a financial advisor or professional to determine their own investment objectives, risk tolerance, and other factors before making any investment decisions.
  • This post has been edited for completeness and includes material generated with the assistance of ChatGPT.